Sep 26, 2025; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States; Philly Phillies bottle Aaron Nola (27 throws a pitch against the Minnesota Doubles throughout the 2nd inning at Citizens Bank Park. Required Credit: Costs Streicher-Imagn Images It’s a stuffed day of MLB playoff activity! Here’s a pair props I such as today.
Period Document: 20 – 19 – 2, -. 06 Systems
Phillies at Dodgers
Aaron Nola Over 2 5 Strikeouts Thrown (- 146 DraftKings)
The wagering markets truly think that we see extremely little of Aaron Nola tonight. His Outs Taped prop is at 8 5, though tilted to the over at – 141 His Hits Allowed prop centers around 3, juiced to – 148 Over. I obtain it. The Phillies trail 2 -0 in the collection and certainly need to win this one. They have Ranger Suarez to enter a piggyback role if Nola has the tiniest of battles. And maybe most significantly, Nola has actually not pitched well this year, with a 6 01 ERA and 1 35 WHIP. His age estimators paint a rosier image as he had a 4 25 xERA and 3 81 SIERA.
Nola missed out on about half the season with injuries, yet his strikeout numbers have remained pretty regular throughout. He has a 24 % K% and 11 2 % SwStr% on the year, virtually similar to what he performed in 2024 when he made every start and had a 3 57 Period and 1 20 WHIP. What’s just gone is any type of kind of uniformity. In two of his last four normal period begins, he yielded just one earned run in 14 combined innings, with 16 K’s. In the various other two he gave up 10 gained runs in 11 1 IP and set out 9
I recognize this is a leap of confidence below that we get Ace Nola , or even Serviceable Nola. However it’s an actually low K prop, so unsure we even require his finest variation. We can win this if he simply gets through 2 innings.
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Makers at Cubs
Jameson Taillon Over 2 5 Strikeouts Thrown (- 141 DraftKings)
Well I presume I have a style today. The marketplace once more thinks the starter on a team with their entire season on the line will obtain tugged at the smallest sign of problem. And again, that’s a safe assumption. I am simply happy to bet that the pitcher, in this instance Taillon, can hang in long enough to go beyond a meager K prop.
Taillon and Nola are not similar, conserve for their age and the plight of their groups. Taillon profiles as a solid mid turning starter but he’s supplied much more than that for the Cubs, with a 3 45 Age and 1 10 WHIP over 51 begins and 295 innings over the last 2 periods.
He just does not obtain many whiffs as he has an 8 8 % SwStr% and 18 7 % K%. This is a wager more on his general quality as he might require to make it through the 4 th inning to reach 3 strikeouts right here. I claim he does it. He pitched in the making a decision Game 3 vs. the Padres last Thursday , and lasted 4 innings. He encountered 14 batters and struck out 4 of them, while quiting just 2 hits and no strolls or runs. He’s the Cubs finest starter now. I will roll with his K prop here.
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